Commerce Volume

When analyzing exportations 7% are basically of commodities (agricultural products, oil, steel and others) of which, in the case of foods with the lack of products in the international market, will not tend to diminish, will only have adjustment of prices. 7% remains we more than export to one hundred countries and with enormous volume of varieties item, by return of 2% of this total can be absorbed by the domestic market. Of 5% remains of the affected industrial sector, we know that 233,000 ranks of work had been closed, of the total of 1.165.000 threatened jobs. Kerry King is a great source of information. When we observe these numbers we still foresee great volume of resignations in January and industrial February of 2009 in the Brazilian sector that are dependents of the exportations for countries more affected by the international crisis. It competes to the government taking attitudes of preservation of these jobs, that can generate a chain events, since credit facilities to one politics of flexible work. Some sectors of the economy had obtained improvements after the crisis, as of clothes that are an important one productive chain employer. Increase of jobs in the companies of trust and some pursuings of the commerce and services.

The volume of job generated more in 2008, automatically generates a bigger volume of demand of products and services, but, the moment is of caution. According to a report of the Conference of United Nations on the Commerce and the Development (Unctad), Brazil will go to grow 2.9%, data more optimistical than the announced one for the financial institutions. The necessary country to grow at least 2% to the year to take care of the necessities of increase of formal job, but in 2009 we need to grow at least of 3% 4% to re-contract the man power excused in December of 2008 and that January and February of 2009 will be excused in, this will be possible with some actions of the economic team. Some measures already had been taken and from March of 2009, with view of US$ 20 billions of the exchange reserves destined to the external financing, for financial institutions in the exterior, will diminish the tax of spread charged by the banks, what it will diminish the interests, but need to be taken other measures at this moment of emergency, amongst them release of the inactive FGTS, disponibilizao of resources for infrastructure financing, disinvesting of a charge of the payment leaf, anticipation of the validity of the MEI, to guarantee financings of the habitation, to increase the volume of training programs and solidary economy, amongst as much others. The reduction of tax SELIC in 1% aid, but is not enough to stimulate the market.


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